Tax & Trade Blog

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A SHOCK TO ONTARIO'S ELECTRICITY EXPORT TAX

PRESIDENT TRUMP VOWS TARIFF RESPONSE, ONTARIO SUSPENDS TAX

As we have previously written about here, there is suggestion that Ontario’s electricity export tax (the “export tax”) may lack constitutional authority to be imposed as a retaliatory measure to the United States’ (“US”) recent tariffs on Canadian goods.  Despite its questionable legality, Premier Ford imposed the export tax on March 10, 2025.  In response, President Trump indicated the US would increase its tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum to 50 percent on March 12, 2025, which prompted Premier Ford to suspend the export tax shortly thereafter.

In this instance, it appears that Premier Ford’s export tax was a bad idea, much like we suggested here concerning Canada’s second round of retaliatory tariffs.  Accordingly, it might make little sense – both in economic theory and practical terms – to “enflame” the situation further with retaliatory measures when the US is an economic giant whose response can cripple the Canadian economy.

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"RETALIATORY TARIFFS - STILL A BAD IDEA?

UNILATERAL FREE TRADE WOULD BE A BETTER ECONOMIC IDEA

 The trade relationship between the United States (“US”) and Canada has eroded with tensions devolving into a trade war.

As of today, the US imposed tariffs on Canadian goods appear to be "off again" until April 2^nd, but Canada's first round of "retaliation tariffs" are still "on" ("CT-R1").   That is strange.  Canada is "on" despite no current US tariffs to retaliate against?  Is Canada now the sole aggressor?

Should this on-again-off-again trade war continue to escalate, the US will likely impose even further reciprocal tariffs on Canadian goods, along with additional tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum products, and timber, lumber and derivative products. In turn, Canada is planning to implement a more robust second round of tariffs targetting an additional $125 billion in US goods ("CT-R2").