Tax & Trade Blog

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TARIFF WAR - ROUND 2

CANADA IMPOSES TARIFFS ON US STEEL AND ALUMINUM

The trade war between Canada and the United States (“US”) has taken a further turn for the worse. On March 12, 2025, President Trump imposed 25 percent tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum products. Canada has now retaliated in kind, enacting the United States Surtax Order (Steel and Aluminum 2025) , which targets a wide list of US steel and aluminum products with a 25 percent surtax (the “Steel & Aluminum Surtax”). Businesses seeking to understand the scope of the Steel & Aluminum Surtax and mitigate its effects will require assistance from experienced International Trade counsel.

A Brief Review

President Trump, through an executive order on February 11, 2025, previously announced that 25 percent tariffs would be imposed on Canadian steel and aluminum products. 

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A SHOCK TO ONTARIO'S ELECTRICITY EXPORT TAX

PRESIDENT TRUMP VOWS TARIFF RESPONSE, ONTARIO SUSPENDS TAX

As we have previously written about here, there is suggestion that Ontario’s electricity export tax (the “export tax”) may lack constitutional authority to be imposed as a retaliatory measure to the United States’ (“US”) recent tariffs on Canadian goods.  Despite its questionable legality, Premier Ford imposed the export tax on March 10, 2025.  In response, President Trump indicated the US would increase its tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum to 50 percent on March 12, 2025, which prompted Premier Ford to suspend the export tax shortly thereafter.

In this instance, it appears that Premier Ford’s export tax was a bad idea, much like we suggested here concerning Canada’s second round of retaliatory tariffs.  Accordingly, it might make little sense – both in economic theory and practical terms – to “enflame” the situation further with retaliatory measures when the US is an economic giant whose response can cripple the Canadian economy.

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"RETALIATORY TARIFFS - STILL A BAD IDEA?

UNILATERAL FREE TRADE WOULD BE A BETTER ECONOMIC IDEA

 The trade relationship between the United States (“US”) and Canada has eroded with tensions devolving into a trade war.

As of today, the US imposed tariffs on Canadian goods appear to be "off again" until April 2^nd, but Canada's first round of "retaliation tariffs" are still "on" ("CT-R1").   That is strange.  Canada is "on" despite no current US tariffs to retaliate against?  Is Canada now the sole aggressor?

Should this on-again-off-again trade war continue to escalate, the US will likely impose even further reciprocal tariffs on Canadian goods, along with additional tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum products, and timber, lumber and derivative products. In turn, Canada is planning to implement a more robust second round of tariffs targetting an additional $125 billion in US goods ("CT-R2").  

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ONTARIO'S ELECTRICITY EXPORT TAX

PREMIER FORD ANNOUNCES EXPORT TAX, BUT WILL IT BE LEGAL?

On March 4, 2025, Ontario’s Premier Doug Ford announced further a retaliatory measure to the recently announced Trump tariffs, indicating that Ontario would apply a tax on exports of electricity to the United States (“US”). While that announcement might make many Ontarians (and Canadians) feel good about "taking a stance", one wonders whether Ontario has the legal powers to do what it says it is going to do.

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TARIFF UPDATE 101

TRUMP TARIFFS, CANADA'S COUNTERMEASURES TAKE EFFECT

The trade dispute between the United States (“US”) and Canada has now entered a new phase, as the US imposed 25 percent tariffs on Canadian goods and 10 percent tariffs on Canadian energy products on March 4, 2025 .  Canada responded in kind and implemented the first phase of its previously announced retaliatory countermeasures through the United States Surtax Order (2025-1) .  The list of targetted US origin goods remains the same as the prior list , but for the addition of 14 new items under Chapters 98 and 99 of the Customs Tariff Schedule, although these new items appear to be absent from a news release published by the Department of Finance Canada.

While Canadian businesses may have a 30-day reprieve from the threatened Trump and Canadian retaliatory tariffs, businesses should take the opportunity now to put plans in place to minimize the fallout should tariffs be enacted.  One avenue businesses can pursue to mitigate the impact of the tariffs is duty drawback.   

While President Trump’s Executive Order removes the option for American businesses to claim duty drawback, Canada Border Services Agency (“CBSA”) has confirmed that duty drawback remains available for Canadian businesses engaged in the import and subsequent export of goods, even if retaliatory tariffs come into force.

The trade relationship between the United States (“US”) and Canada received a brief period of reprieve with the recent 30-day postponement of President Trump’s blanket tariffs and Canada’s retaliatory countermeasures.  Despite this intermission, the US and Canada appear set to face off again with tariffs and other countermeasures, much like their counterparts on the ice in the nations face off. 

President Trump has shown a willingness to continue his strategy of cajoling Canada into trade concessions, as evidenced by his February 10, 2025, executive order imposing a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports entering the US.  While there may be legitimate questions about the legality of such tariffs, in this dispute where the refs are off the ice the size of the US economy is a major advantage.